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    Debt Ceiling Brinkmanship Risks U.S. Credibility—and Ordinary Lives

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    The Glaring Cost of Congressional Inaction

    American households, retirees, and markets worldwide are once again tethered to the unpredictable pulse of Washington’s political gamesmanship. This time, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s warning lands with all the urgency of a blaring alarm clock: Unless Congress acts to raise or suspend the debt ceiling by mid-July, the U.S. could stumble into a catastrophic default as early as August. The consequences? Immediate spikes in borrowing costs, lost jobs, and shaken faith in the dollar—all while political ambitions collide inside the Capitol. Failing to act would be more than a technocratic error; it would be a profound betrayal of public trust.

    What’s so exasperating here isn’t just the technicality of the debt ceiling—it’s that this crisis is manufactured, predictable, and entirely avoidable. According to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, the “X-date”—when Uncle Sam’s pockets run dry—lurks just beyond the summer glow of July 4th festivities. Yet, like clockwork, we’re watching another high-stakes standoff unfold. The Treasury Department has resorted to extraordinary measures, halting payments into federal worker pension and disability funds. These moves are stopgaps, not solutions, analogous to plugging a dam with chewing gum in hopes the water holds until lawmakers get their act together.

    Historical memory serves as a sharp rebuke to this recurring dance. The 2011 debt ceiling crisis, also born from gridlock, led Standard & Poor’s to downgrade the United States’ credit rating for the first time in history, costing everyone from small business owners to retirees. That year, markets wobbled, consumer confidence cratered, and the government paid billions in higher borrowing costs that could have strengthened schools or Social Security instead. Do we really need to relive that chaos?

    Partisan Gridlock: Political Theater with Real-World Fallout

    Beyond that, what’s unfolding now in Congress is as much about partisanship as it is about fiscal stewardship. House Speaker Mike Johnson, following the tactical playbook of hardline fiscal hawks, aims to ram through a budget reconciliation package by July 4—no Democrats required—in a show of political muscle. The reality, however, is less triumphant. Republican infighting over deep tax cuts and controversial social program reductions threatens to upend that timeline. As reported by Bloomberg and reinforced by analysis from the Brookings Institution, these masked power struggles not only slow progress but place the broader U.S. and global economy at the mercy of niche ideological battles.

    Harvard fiscal policy expert Douglas Elmendorf points out that “using the debt ceiling as a bargaining chip undermines the very foundation of America’s fiscal reliability.” Most Americans don’t realize that the debt ceiling isn’t about new spending—it’s about paying for obligations Congress already approved, from veterans’ benefits to defense contracts.

    So, why risk the nation’s credit and force the Treasury to take these precarious, last-ditch actions? The answer lies in political calculation at the expense of collective well-being. Some conservative lawmakers brandish the threat of non-action to extract policy wins—be it shrinking the social safety net or scoring points with donors back home. This approach puts working Americans on the line: a default could delay Social Security checks, disrupt Medicare payments, trigger market selloffs, and nudge our economy toward recession. All of this, just before Congress leaves town for its month-long August recess.

    “Waiting until the last minute to act on the debt limit sends shockwaves through markets, erodes consumer and business confidence, and raises costs for taxpayers in utterly avoidable ways.” — Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury Secretary

    Recent IRS intake from tax season gave the government a brief reprieve, providing just enough cash to avoid imminent calamity—but this is no long-term fix. Patching holes until the next storm only further destabilizes faith in American governance and emboldens doubters abroad who would love to see the dollar’s dominance diminished.

    The Big Picture: Credibility, Security, and Global Leadership at Stake

    What’s at stake is more than Wall Street’s jitters; it’s the foundational credibility of the United States. No one disputes that responsible budgeting is essential, yet the debt ceiling is a blunt and dangerous instrument for enforcing fiscal discipline. Former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen has repeatedly called this practice “an archaic holdover that threatens America’s economic stability.” If Congress fails to resolve this impasse, the message to the world is clear: America’s leaders are willing to gamble with the integrity of U.S. commitments to score fleeting partisan points.

    While Secretary Bessent warns of cash shortfalls, he’s also navigating complex international waters, representing America in high-stakes trade negotiations with China—even as Washington teeters on the edge of default. It’s a surreal juxtaposition that sends mixed signals to allies and adversaries alike. If the world’s premier economic powerhouse can’t meet its basic obligations, why should global partners trust its dealmaking?

    As Nobel laureate and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman recently observed, “The rest of the world isn’t just watching—they’re actively recalibrating what it means to rely on the U.S. dollar as the foundation of the global financial system.” If markets lose confidence, interest rates rise not just for the government but for everyone; credit cards, mortgages, car loans—all get more expensive, squeezing families across the socioeconomic spectrum.

    The debt ceiling is not a constitutional mandate; it’s an artifact of early 20th-century budgeting. Lawmakers have raised or suspended it more than 100 times, under both Republican and Democratic presidents. When America led by consensus—think Eisenhower, Reagan, even Clinton and Bush—debates over fiscal policy didn’t spiral into existential threats for the global economy. The growing acceptance of brinkmanship as a political tool signals a disturbing erosion of shared responsibility.

    So what can you do as an informed citizen? Demand accountability, insist that lawmakers stop playing roulette with the nation’s credit, and support reforms that disconnect debt limit increases from unrelated policy fights. Congress has the power—and the obligation—to act now, restore stability, and show the world that American democracy, for all its messiness, still honors its promises.

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